USA vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1998 |
USA
0 - 0
SCO
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
USA
2 - 0
KWT
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
USA
0 - 0
MKD
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
AUT
0 - 3
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
YUG
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
2 - 0
IRN
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
IRN
1 - 0
JAM
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1998 |
IRN
0 - 2
HUN
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1998 |
IRN
1 - 1
KWT
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |