USA vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1985 |
USA
1 - 1
CAN
63%
19%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1985 |
CAN
2 - 0
USA
59%
20%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1985 |
USA
1 - 1
SUI
37%
24%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1984 |
USA
2 - 2
ECU
70%
17%
14%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1984 |
USA
0 - 0
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
BRD
0 - 3
ENG
69%
19%
13%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
ENG
31%
28%
41%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1985 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
58%
24%
18%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
28%
38%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1985 |
FIN
1 - 1
ENG
14%
25%
61%
|
92 | 56 | 36 | 0 |