USA vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
49.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
ITA
8 - 0
USA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1952 |
SCO
6 - 0
USA
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 2
USA
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
USA
1 - 0
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
ESP
3 - 1
USA
76%
13%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
URU
2 - 1
ENG
35%
22%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CHI
1 - 2
ENG
30%
21%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
ARG
0 - 0
ENG
57%
20%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1952 |
ENG
5 - 0
BEL
82%
10%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |