USA vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
55.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
ESP
3 - 1
USA
76%
13%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
USA
3 - 1
ISR
47%
20%
33%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 1948 |
NIR
5 - 0
USA
44%
20%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 1948 |
NOR
11 - 0
USA
56%
18%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
ITA
9 - 0
USA
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
ENG
2 - 0
CHI
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
BEL
1 - 4
ENG
28%
20%
52%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
POR
3 - 5
ENG
29%
20%
51%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1949 |
ENG
2 - 0
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |