USA vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.7%
Win probability
0.11
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
0.2%
+1
1.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
0.1%
0
16%
82.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
25.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
24.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0%
-2
26%
0-3
15.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
0.3%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.3%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 4
SUN
12%
22%
66%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
USA
1 - 3
SUN
13%
23%
64%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
USA
91%
7%
3%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
SUI
2 - 0
USA
70%
17%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
ISL
0 - 0
USA
42%
22%
36%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1979 |
CSK
2 - 0
FRA
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
FRA
3 - 0
LUX
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 42 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1978 |
FRA
1 - 0
ESP
43%
28%
29%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
LUX
1 - 3
FRA
13%
18%
69%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 2
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |