USA vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1994 |
USA
0 - 2
CHI
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
USA
1 - 2
ISL
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1994 |
USA
3 - 0
MDA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1994 |
USA
1 - 1
MDA
74%
15%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1994 |
USA
2 - 2
BOL
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1994 |
CYP
2 - 0
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
SUI
4 - 0
EST
91%
7%
2%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
POR
3 - 0
EST
88%
10%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1993 |
LIE
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
EST
0 - 3
ITA
7%
22%
71%
|
64 | 95 | 31 | -1 |