USA vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1916 |
NOR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1916 |
SWE
2 - 3
USA
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 1
FIN
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1923 |
EST
1 - 4
POL
51%
23%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 2
SUN
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1923 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1923 |
EST
1 - 1
LTU
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |