USA vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 3
CHI
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 3
CHI
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 1
CHI
31%
26%
44%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
ECU
2 - 1
CAN
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 1987 |
PER
1 - 1
ECU
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1987 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1987 |
BRA
4 - 1
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 95 | 29 | 0 |