USA vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
MEX
2 - 1
USA
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
GTM
4 - 0
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1984 |
USA
1 - 0
COL
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1984 |
USA
3 - 1
SLV
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 1984 |
EGY
1 - 1
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1983 |
ARG
2 - 2
ECU
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 95 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
19%
27%
54%
|
63 | 96 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
2 - 2
ARG
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 91 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1983 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |