USA vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 4
ARG
21%
23%
57%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
USA
2 - 1
ECU
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
CRC
55%
23%
23%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CHI
42%
25%
33%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
COL
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
CRC
66%
21%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |