USA vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
ECU
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 3
USA
3%
14%
83%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
GTM
77%
15%
7%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GTM
2 - 0
USA
16%
23%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HTI
82%
14%
4%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
ECU
55%
24%
21%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 3
COL
22%
27%
51%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
ARG
33%
26%
40%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
57%
24%
20%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |