USA vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
USA
1 - 0
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
USA
3 - 0
HTI
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 2
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
IRN
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
USA
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
HND
2 - 0
COL
24%
27%
50%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
COL
1 - 0
JAM
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
SVK
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
58%
24%
19%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 1
COL
65%
22%
14%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |