USA vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
24.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 0
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
AUS
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1992 |
USA
1 - 1
ITA
23%
32%
45%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
USA
1 - 0
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1992 |
USA
3 - 1
IRL
33%
31%
36%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1992 |
HND
1 - 0
COL
41%
28%
30%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
2 - 1
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |