United States vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
COL
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1988 |
GTM
0 - 1
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
GTM
1 - 0
USA
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1987 |
USA
1 - 0
THA
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
KOR
1 - 0
USA
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 0
CHI
2%
26%
72%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1988 |
CHI
0 - 1
GRC
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1987 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1987 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1987 |
CHI
2 - 1
COL
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |