USA vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 5
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 2
USA
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
USA
3 - 1
JAM
78%
14%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
SVN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TTO
2 - 1
USA
10%
19%
71%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 3
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 3
BRA
40%
24%
36%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
43%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
56%
23%
22%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BRA
17%
22%
60%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |