USA vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 0
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
AUS
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1992 |
USA
1 - 1
ITA
23%
32%
45%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1992 |
USA
1 - 0
POR
35%
30%
35%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
MEX
0 - 5
BRA
33%
29%
38%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1992 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
27%
29%
44%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 1
FIN
83%
13%
4%
|
95 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 0
USA
83%
13%
4%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |