USA vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1928 |
POL
3 - 3
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
ARG
11 - 2
USA
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
USA
6 - 2
CAN
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1925 |
USA
6 - 1
CAN
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1925 |
CAN
1 - 0
USA
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
BEL
3 - 1
NED
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 3
NED
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
NED
2 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |