USA vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
51%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
POL
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 0
ECU
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 2
ECU
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1988 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1988 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 0
KSA
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1988 |
AUS
4 - 1
ARG
29%
28%
43%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1988 |
ARG
2 - 2
KSA
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |