USA vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 2
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 2
USA
21%
24%
56%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
NGA
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
USA
2 - 1
TUR
55%
23%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
USA
2 - 0
AZE
85%
12%
4%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
GHA
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2014 |
GER
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
19%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2014 |
GER
6 - 1
ARM
92%
7%
1%
|
95 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
CMR
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
GER
0 - 0
POL
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |