USA vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
WAL
0 - 0
USA
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
63%
21%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
CUB
0 - 4
USA
10%
22%
68%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
USA
4 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 0
USA
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
JPN
1 - 0
PAN
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CRC
0 - 1
PAN
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
GTM
0 - 2
PAN
43%
26%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
NIC
0 - 0
PAN
9%
19%
73%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |