CONCACAF League of Nations Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
USA vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 1
USA
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
43%
26%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
NZL
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
USA
1 - 2
CAN
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 1
USA
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 0
HND
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
NIC
0 - 2
JAM
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
HND
1 - 2
JAM
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 0
CUB
74%
17%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |