USA vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
USA
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
MEX
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
USA
1 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
GRD
1 - 7
USA
7%
18%
75%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
JAM
1 - 2
JOR
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
JAM
1 - 2
QAT
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
JAM
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 0
TTO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 0
JAM
29%
24%
46%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |