USA vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
USA
2 - 1
URU
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
IRL
2 - 1
USA
56%
25%
19%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
USA
1 - 0
MEX
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
GER
4 - 2
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
USA
1 - 0
ECU
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
JAM
0 - 1
CRC
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
USA
2 - 1
JAM
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
HND
1 - 0
JAM
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
JAM
1 - 2
MEX
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
GRD
2 - 0
JAM
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |