USA vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1997 |
USA
0 - 1
ECU
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
USA
2 - 1
ISR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1997 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
JAM
1 - 0
CRC
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
JAM
1 - 0
CAN
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
JAM
6 - 1
TTO
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
JAM
1 - 0
COL
21%
31%
49%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1997 |
JAM
4 - 1
GRD
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |