USA vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
USA
0 - 1
UKR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 2
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 1
MEX
27%
30%
42%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
NOR
1 - 0
USA
63%
23%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1993 |
ISL
0 - 1
USA
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
CRC
1 - 1
JAM
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1993 |
MEX
6 - 1
JAM
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
JAM
1 - 1
PAN
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
JAM
3 - 1
HND
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |