USA vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
USA
4 - 0
GTM
79%
15%
6%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
USA
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
NED
3 - 4
USA
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
SUI
1 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
HND
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
HND
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
HND
2 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
HND
3 - 0
GUF
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | +1 |