USA vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
73%
19%
9%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
USA
2 - 0
CRC
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
CAN
0 - 0
USA
14%
24%
63%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
USA
4 - 0
SLV
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2002 |
CUB
0 - 1
USA
6%
19%
76%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 5
HND
40%
23%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
HND
0 - 1
TTO
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
HND
1 - 0
JAM
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
USA
2 - 3
HND
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |