USA vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1994 |
JAM
0 - 3
USA
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1994 |
TTO
1 - 0
USA
37%
24%
38%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
KSA
2 - 1
USA
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
ENG
2 - 0
USA
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1994 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 96 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1994 |
KOR
3 - 0
HND
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1994 |
BRA
8 - 2
HND
94%
5%
1%
|
82 | 96 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1994 |
HND
2 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1994 |
HND
1 - 3
SLV
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
USA
1 - 0
HND
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |