USA vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1991 |
GTM
0 - 3
USA
50%
28%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1991 |
USA
2 - 1
TTO
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
USA
1 - 1
IRL
35%
31%
34%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
HND
2 - 0
CRC
40%
30%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 1
HND
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
JAM
0 - 5
HND
39%
29%
32%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1991 |
CAN
2 - 4
HND
49%
27%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
SLV
2 - 1
HND
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |