USA vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 2
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
IRN
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
USA
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 2
USA
24%
29%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
USA
2 - 0
KSA
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1999 |
HTI
3 - 2
VEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1999 |
TTO
6 - 1
HTI
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
HTI
4 - 3
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
HTI
2 - 0
KNA
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
CUB
3 - 1
HTI
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |