USA vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
USA
7 - 0
BRB
95%
4%
1%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
CRC
2 - 1
USA
39%
28%
34%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
USA
28%
28%
44%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2000 |
USA
1 - 1
IRL
45%
26%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CRC
2 - 1
GTM
61%
23%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
GTM
2 - 0
BRB
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
GTM
1 - 1
USA
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2000 |
SLV
0 - 1
GTM
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2000 |
GTM
4 - 1
HTI
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |