USA vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
USA
3 - 0
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
USA
1 - 1
TTO
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
CRC
1 - 0
USA
76%
15%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
USA
2 - 4
SUN
22%
29%
49%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
GTM
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1989 |
GTM
0 - 1
CHI
37%
30%
33%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
CRC
2 - 1
GTM
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
GTM
1 - 0
CRC
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
GTM
3 - 0
SLV
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |