USA vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
3.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
MTQ
0 - 2
USA
3%
15%
82%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
USA
0 - 0
CMR
69%
19%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CUB
0 - 3
CRC
12%
21%
67%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
CAN
0 - 2
CUB
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
JAM
1 - 2
CUB
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
PAN
1 - 0
CUB
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
PAN
2 - 0
CUB
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |