USA vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2003 |
USA
1 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
74%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
USA
5 - 0
CUB
84%
12%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2003 |
MTQ
0 - 2
USA
3%
15%
82%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
PAR
50%
26%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
5 - 2
SLV
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CUB
0 - 3
CRC
12%
21%
67%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CRC
1 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |