USA vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
USA
1 - 2
PRK
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
TUR
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
ROU
0 - 2
USA
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
USA
0 - 0
HND
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
HND
2 - 0
CRC
40%
30%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1991 |
TTO
2 - 1
CRC
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1991 |
CRC
2 - 0
GTM
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |