USA vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1989 |
TTO
0 - 1
USA
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
USA
2 - 1
BMU
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
USA
0 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
GTM
0 - 0
USA
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
SLV
0 - 1
USA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1989 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
SLV
2 - 4
CRC
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
CRC
1 - 0
TTO
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
TTO
1 - 1
CRC
13%
21%
66%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |