USA vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1984 |
USA
0 - 0
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1983 |
HTI
0 - 2
USA
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
TTO
1 - 2
USA
55%
20%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
POR
1 - 1
USA
90%
7%
3%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
LUX
0 - 2
USA
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
PAN
1 - 1
CRC
7%
17%
76%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1983 |
CRC
1 - 1
KOR
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1983 |
CRC
2 - 0
CUB
90%
7%
3%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1983 |
CRC
3 - 0
CUB
89%
7%
3%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1983 |
MEX
1 - 0
CRC
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |