USA vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
TUR
1 - 1
USA
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
ROU
0 - 2
USA
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
USA
0 - 0
HND
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
36%
29%
35%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
PRK
80%
13%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
2 - 1
KOR
11%
20%
69%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
IRN
4 - 1
PRK
75%
15%
9%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1990 |
PRK
1 - 0
THA
64%
19%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
KSA
3 - 4
PRK
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |