USA vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
BRB
0 - 4
USA
2%
15%
83%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
USA
0 - 0
CRC
63%
22%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
USA
1 - 0
GTM
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
USA
7 - 0
BRB
95%
4%
1%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2001 |
IRN
4 - 0
CHN
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
EGY
3 - 2
CHN
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
CHN
0 - 1
KOR
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2000 |
CHN
2 - 3
JPN
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2000 |
CHN
3 - 1
QAT
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |