USA vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
MAR
3 - 1
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1992 |
ESP
2 - 0
USA
79%
16%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 0
USA
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1992 |
SLV
2 - 0
USA
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
CRC
0 - 0
USA
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
CAN
5 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1990 |
THA
1 - 0
CHN
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
2 - 0
CHN
63%
24%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1990 |
SGP
1 - 5
CHN
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
PAK
0 - 3
CHN
22%
24%
54%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |