USA vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
URU
37%
24%
38%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
USA
16%
22%
62%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
USA
2 - 0
BOL
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USA
1 - 5
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 2
URU
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
CAN
0 - 0
CHI
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
CAN
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |