USA vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
MTQ
1 - 6
USA
9%
18%
73%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
HTI
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
USA
4 - 0
CRC
75%
16%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
USA
3 - 2
MEX
43%
25%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
HND
0 - 1
USA
18%
24%
58%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
HTI
1 - 4
CAN
23%
24%
54%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 1
MTQ
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 0
HTI
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
HTI
0 - 1
CAN
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 0
SUR
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | +1 |