USA vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
USA
3 - 2
ISL
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
TTO
0 - 0
USA
20%
25%
56%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
USA
6 - 1
VCT
84%
12%
4%
|
89 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
USA
0 - 1
CRC
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USA
2 - 3
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
CAN
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
HND
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
GHA
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BLZ
1 - 1
CAN
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
3 - 0
BLZ
77%
17%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |