USA vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
USA
0 - 0
RUS
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1993 |
USA
0 - 1
RUS
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
USA
1 - 1
ROU
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
USA
2 - 2
DEN
30%
31%
39%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1992 |
USA
5 - 2
CIV
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1992 |
USA
0 - 0
CAN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1992 |
CAN
0 - 2
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
CAN
1 - 3
SCO
27%
30%
44%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
CAN
5 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
JAM
2 - 3
CAN
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |