USA vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1992 |
CAN
0 - 2
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
BRA
16%
26%
58%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
COL
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 0
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
AUS
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1992 |
CAN
0 - 2
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1992 |
CAN
1 - 3
SCO
27%
30%
44%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1992 |
CAN
5 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
JAM
2 - 3
CAN
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1991 |
CAN
1 - 3
MEX
32%
30%
38%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |