USA vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1991 |
BMU
1 - 0
USA
26%
27%
48%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1991 |
USA
0 - 1
SUI
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1990 |
POR
1 - 0
USA
68%
22%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
USA
0 - 0
SUN
24%
29%
48%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1991 |
MEX
3 - 0
CAN
77%
17%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CAN
2 - 1
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
CAN
2 - 0
BEL
28%
30%
41%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
0 - 1
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1989 |
FRO
1 - 0
CAN
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |