Spain vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
13.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
18.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.2%
2-0
18%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
16%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6.8%
1.2%
Win probability
0.21
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
URU
76%
15%
9%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
IRL
81%
14%
5%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
HTI
90%
9%
2%
|
99 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 1
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
98 | 94 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 1
FIN
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
TAH
1 - 6
NGA
6%
18%
76%
|
45 | 87 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TAH
2 - 0
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NZL
3 - 0
TAH
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 2
NZL
6%
14%
80%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |