Spain vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1931 |
IRL
0 - 5
ESP
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1931 |
ENG
7 - 1
ESP
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
1 - 1
IRL
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
ESP
0 - 0
ITA
59%
20%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1931 |
POL
6 - 3
YUG
87%
9%
5%
|
38 | 75 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1931 |
BGR
3 - 2
YUG
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1931 |
TUR
2 - 0
YUG
84%
11%
6%
|
38 | 72 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1931 |
YUG
2 - 1
CSK
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 83 | 46 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
YUG
2 - 4
ROU
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |