Spain vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1972 |
GRC
0 - 0
ESP
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1972 |
NIR
1 - 1
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1972 |
ESP
1 - 0
HUN
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
ESP
7 - 0
CYP
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUN
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
CHI
5 - 0
URU
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1971 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1971 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1971 |
URU
1 - 1
DDR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |