Spain vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 1
GER
44%
23%
32%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ESP
3 - 0
BLR
87%
10%
2%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 4
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
96 | 43 | 53 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
SVK
2 - 1
ESP
8%
16%
76%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
ESP
5 - 1
MKD
88%
10%
2%
|
96 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
UKR
0 - 0
LTU
75%
18%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 3
UKR
10%
21%
69%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UKR
1 - 0
MKD
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
BLR
0 - 2
UKR
26%
26%
49%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
UKR
0 - 1
SVK
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |